February 12th, 2014
[This column was first published in the Shift Age Newsletter #27 ]
This is the third and final of columns that look at the forecasts I have made relative to things that might happen through 2013. As pointed out in the first two columns, the real purpose is to analyze why forecasts were correct and if not why not and what this might mean looking forward.
As stated in the first column:
“..most people, and certainly people who lead institutions and companies, are interested in what will happen six months to five years out as that is what is their primary …
January 29th, 2014
[This column was first published in the Shift Age Newsletter #27]
Eight years ago I first began to write and speak about the future full time. Then, as always, I was asked about what accurate forecasts I had made. This told me of course that my legitimacy to some degree would be based upon this. So I did start to make forecasts.
The second thing I realized was that most people, and certainly people who lead institutions and companies, are interested in what will happen six months to five years out as that is what is their primary …
In the last column here, I pointed out that a number of my Shift Age forecasts have come true. I wrote about several of them and how I get an odd sense of déjà vu when these forecasts become reality. In this and coming columns, I will revisit them – not to gloat, but to provide explanation, because people read and hear forecasts differently from explanations of the actual events they become.
In 2007, I forecast that humanity, and particularly the developed countries of the world, would enter the “reorganizational recession of 2007-2010.” Considering that this is a blog that looks …
February 25th, 2011
In the past I have written that as a futurist, it sometimes feels like I live in a state of déjà vu. I spend a lot of time researching and looking into the future to develop the forecasts and trends that I write and speak about. I experience them, see them, and have varying degrees of certainty when I publish or present them.
Since 2011 began, so many of the forecasts and trends I predicted over the last four years are coming true, I feel as if I’m in an almost constant state of déjà vu. Now, as I spend some …