A True Scientific Milestone
August 5th, 2008
Amidst all the chatter and news stories about who said what in the Presidential race and how SUVs have become undesirable, there was a story last week that will be one that 2008 will be remembered for, at least in the scientific community. NASA’s Phoenix Mars lander found ice on Mars!!
As long as humanity has known about the solar system there has been conjecture as to whether there was life anywhere else. Mars has always been the prime suspect and has led to many books, movies and one famous radio event about Martians. Most of the time such life forms have been presented as strange angry creatures that attack earth as we humans have trouble thinking other wise. Those of us who believe in the statistical inevitability of life elsewhere have waited for concrete evidence.
The discovery of water on Mars does not suggest that there has or is life on Mars. We do currently believe however that water is essential for the existence of life. We now know, conclusively for the first time that water exists on another planet. That is an incredible discovery. It is a first. Water is not unique to earth.
In an earlier column here I discussed the fact that scientists found another sun and planetary system that is similar to ours. I also suggested in another column that perhaps the definition of life should be expanded as we search for it in space. The fact that ‘life’ should be narrowly defined by earthly …
Global Warming is a Risk Management Issue
October 29th, 2007
We are moving toward the end of 2007 and there are still people that question whether the planet is warming up and more specifically whether humans have anything to do with it. I have listened to and read some of the thinking of these people and it falls into several categories. First, and this is true, there are people, Republicans mostly, that cannot stand Al Gore – they still remember his self righteous sighing in 2000 - and are therefore tying the message with the messenger. Second, there are those that are natural contrarians, so they will naturally react negatively when every Hollywood star, starlet, celebrity and blow dried news anchor gets on the global warming soapbox again with moral self righteousness (the Polar bears are dying, what about the Polar bears?). Third there are those that site that the earth has warmed up before, so no big deal this is just a planetary cycle.
I am so tired of all of this dialogue. The earth is warming up and the scientific evidence is irrefutable, at least to this observer. The question is not is there or is there not global warming. The question is not whether we humans have anything to do with it. The question is managing risk. Whether there is global warming or not, as a species we should be planning for the worst. If we don’t, hundreds of millions of us will most likely perish over the next 75 years. Global warming, by all accounts, seems to …
Global Warming and Peace
October 16th, 2007
Congratulations to Al Gore for winning the Nobel Peace Prize. Congratulations to the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for sharing in that prize. There could be no better recipients for the Peace Prize than the man who, more than anyone else has raised the awareness of global warming, and for the international body of scientists that, finally, lifted the dialogue about global warming out of the world of opinion and into the world of science.
Regular readers know that I have often written about global warming. Here I discussed the Intergovernmental Panel, and here I spoke about the change in consciousness about the subject that occurred in 2006, when “Inconvenient Truth” came out. Yes, I am an environmentalist, and yes I have long believed that global warming, and mans’ contribution to it was one of the most important issues we face today. As a futurist however I also see it as one of the greatest challenges in human history. Why the Nobel Peace Prize? What does global warming have to do with peace? There are two reasons.
The first is the clear view that global warming for the next two decades will create tensions between nations and even, in the U.S. between states. Climate change is going to create droughts, famine, shortages of water and competition …
A New Perception of Water
July 5th, 2007
Water is necessary for life. It has been said that a human can go weeks without food, days without water and minutes without oxygen before there is death. I have written here before about water and the need to look more closely at how we use it. The two prior blog posts about water were triggered by the prolonged drought in the Southwestern United States and the fact that what was thought of as a temporary drought is now thought to be the new normal.
There is now severe drought across not only the Southwest, but also the Southeastern U.S. and across northern Minnesota. Lake Okeechobee in Florida, the second largest body of fresh water in the country is in danger of ceasing to be a lake in the years ahead. In fact, part of what used to be the lake was subject to a large brush fire in May. There are now states that are almost entirely enduring drought conditions. Alabama, Tennessee, Mississippi, Georgia and Utah are all at 98-100% at drought level. In Florida, officials said that it would take 50 inches of rain to begin to restore Lake Okeechobee.
Global warming is educating all of us to the reality that we are damaging the planet. It is also deepening our understanding of the critical need to accelerate conservation and recycling efforts as they are the single greatest immediate effort we can bring to fight climate change. We must now start to look at the way we use water, …









