The Four General Positions of the Climate Change Debate
December 20th, 2009
As someone who writes and speaks about alternative and renewable energy, I often get asked about climate change. What do I think about it? What is true? Who to believe?
There is so much noise about it. The media knows it is an important topic to many and they know that controversy prompts viewership so they create controversy. The U.N. Copenhagen Climate summit is the current case in point. TV in particular provides superficial, breathless coverage of registration problems, conflicts, walk-outs and somewhat angry talking heads arguing points of view. So what to think?
The most cogent description of the four general points of view concerning climate change and humanity’s causality of it was in a column in the New York Times. It was written by Stewart Brand. Stewart Brand is best known for creating the “Whole Earth Catalog” and also for being one of Ken Kesey’s Merry Pranksters. It can – and has- been argued that Brand and the “Whole Earth Catalog” created the beginning of the environmental movement and the cultural underpinnings of Silicon Valley. He is that significant of a cultural figure. After all it was Brand who, in 1968, asked the straightforward question: “Why haven’t we seen a picture of the whole earth?”
Stewart Brand has been a hero of mine for the last 40 years. It therefore gave me great comfort to read his column and find that of the four positions he describes around climate change that he and I are in the same one: “Warners”.
Brand describes …
The Oceans are Beginning to Die
August 24th, 2008
It was two years ago that I first wrote about ocean dead zones. These are areas of the ocean that, due to a lack of oxygen, no longer sustain any life. While dead zones can happen naturally, they usually are caused by the results of human activity. A primary cause is nitrogen-rich nutrients from agricultural fertilizers that flow into coastal waters from rivers and streams.
Last week there was a report published in the Journal of Science that stated that the number of these ocean dead zones around the world has doubled every decade since the 1960s. There are now some 400 coastal areas that periodically or perpetually become dead due to oxygen starved bottom waters.
While the size of these dead zones is small relative to the total surface of the oceans, they account for a significant percentage of ocean waters that support commercial shellfish and fish species. This is due to the fact that these zones occur in areas that have historically been prime fishing grounds since these grounds are close to dense human populations.
In recent years there have been consistent dead zones in the Gulf of Mexico, Chesapeake Bay, the Baltic Sea, the coastal areas of China and even the Kattegat Sea where the Norwegian lobster industry has been decimated.. There is now a regular dead zone off the coast of the Pacific Northwest that was mentioned in the column two years ago.
The developing problem with these dead zones is that over time entire species are killed …
What Provokes Greatness?
April 2nd, 2008
This thought came to me while standing on Omaha Beach, one of the American landing beaches on D-Day. I think about the future and it is clear to me that humanity will need to find greatness to face some of the issues it faces now and in the next decade. We need to rise up to a level of commitment, collaboration, will and innovation that seems far from universal today. There is no question but that we can and that we will need to do so. The question is how we rise up to this level of greatness.
Standing on Omaha Beach, and later the same day on Utah Beach I was struck by the magnitude of D-Day. The heroism, valor, loss of life, and incredible stories of individual and collective victory are usually what comes to mind when thinking of this invasion. Those thoughts usually are of the soldiers, but there were larger forces at work. Things were done that had never been done before. Plans were created based on no prior human experience. Let me give you just one example.
The Nazi military command built unprecedented fortifications on the …
The Bali Conference
December 18th, 2007
As a futurist, I look at long term trends and waves of history. The three waves of history we know have been the Agricultural Age, the Industrial Age and the Information Age. The first age began some 10,000 years ago when man first began to literally put down roots. The second age began some 250 years ago with the invention of the steam engine. The third age began some 30 years ago with communications satellites, computers, the explosive growth of the white collar work force and the birth of the electronic global village envisioned by Marshall McLuhan.
We are now entering a new age, the Shift Age. In the months ahead I will write in some detail about this age because — shameless plug here — it is a name I have coined and is also the title of my book that will be published in the first quarter of 2008. For this column however I will focus on just one of the distinguishing characteristics of the Shift Age. The Shift Age marks humanity’s last, at least on this planet, stage of evolution, the global stage. Humanity has ultimately and finally entered this global stage and there is no turning back.
In 1974, around the beginning of the Information Age, humanity reached 4 billion in number. We are now at 6.7 billion which means that our species has grown 66% in the last 33 years, an astonishing fact. This is one of the two primary drivers of global warming, the shear growth …
Gratitude on Thanksgiving Day 2030
November 20th, 2007
Thanksgiving is, in many ways, the truest of holidays. It is not connected to a religion or to a national political event. It is about giving thanks and sharing life’s abundance, manifested by a large meal to be shared by friends and family. Giving thanks for all the wonderfulness of this planet.
On Thanksgiving day in 2030, I hope my then middle aged son will be sharing this day with loved ones hopefully including me. I hope that they all will be able to give thanks for what those of us alive today did between 2007 and 2015 to mobilize humanity to slow and start to reverse global warming. That is the window we have to allow those of us still living and our descendents to have some semblance of a Thanksgiving that might be similar to the one we celebrate in 2007.
The Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change issued its’ final, synthesis report this past weekend. The fact that it had recently won the Nobel Peace Prize along with Al Gore gives the I.P.C.C. an amplified voice for this, its’ fourth and final report. The report is stunning in its conclusions and recommendations. It puts in stark relief the fact that urgent and global action must be taken immediately to avoid almost unimaginable consequences.











