October 14th, 2009
“The chances further down the road seem to me better on the fuel-cell side than on the battery-electric side”
There are a number of readers of this blog and members of the audiences when I speak that just seem to think that hydrogen fuel cell autos are a pipe dream that has no chance of becoming a reality in the next decade. Comments like the quote above provoke a general dismissal as not being realistic.
During the last three years, I have forecast that 2010-2015 would begin the age of the electric automobile and that 2015-2020 would begin the age of the …
In the last column we looked at the general dynamics underlying the reality and need to create an automotive industry in the U.S for the 21st century. We now take a look at what this industry might look like. An analysis of trends, developing technologies and the role that the federal government can and should play, makes it is clear that this industry will be substantially different than that of the 20th century.
At the beginning of the 20th century there were dozens of car companies. The story of the last century is one of consolidation so that by the 1990s …
April 15th, 2009
In the last column I wrote about the National Hydrogen Association annual conference and that it was both informative and generated unprecedented attendance from the public. One of the most exciting aspects of the conference was the opportunity to drive hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, a first for me. I drove three vehicles, and the experience was, in a word spectacular.
The first vehicle was the Daimler A-Class F-Cell from Mercedes. A small, compact car, the driving experience was incredible smooth, responsive and of course very quiet as there was no motor that needed muffling. It was unnerving to accelerate …
March 26th, 2009
Back in early December I wrote a column entitled “The Financial Golden Age of Sports: 1996-2008″. In it I predicted that professional sports were going to go into a financial decline that would last for years. I don’t make forecasts unless I have a very strong sense of them being correct. Well, this forecast has unfolded so quickly and so correctly that even I am a bit surprised.
In that column I wrote:
“going forward, the economics around sports in general will decline, at least for the next 5-8 years if not longer.” And
“Corporations, after firing thousands of people, will …