Google, Cell Phones and Our Wireless Future
November 7th, 2007
Google has now made the long awaited announcement that it would be entering the wireless arena. It was not a product, or “Google Phone†roll-out, but rather the announcement of OHA, or the Open Handset Alliance. OHA(my choice to come up with an acronym as the full name sounds a bit too bureaucratic and almost Orwellian for me to type it a lot) is the next step in the globalization of connectivity and something I have anticipated and expected for a couple of years.
On this blog, and at conferences I point to the fact that it is the cell phone that is the true global technology. I have written about the explosive growth and sheer numbers of devices, of the technological innovation and how the cell phone has found a seat at the table of major media. OHA takes the logical next step which is to break up the walled gardens of carriers and software suppliers. Incompatibility is at odds with a world of ever increasing connectedness. Universality is one of the touch stones of our wireless future. Another is the ongoing commoditization of the entire business pushing costs ever lower for the consumer. OHA will facilitate both of these inevitable trends.
Google of course is doing this for business reasons. They hope to dominate the mobile advertising marketplace the way they currently dominate the on-line one. In addition, they seem to have a strong desire to attack the business constructs of Microsoft and other companies that sell …
Sometimes it is Easy to See the Future – 5
September 13th, 2007
To quote from one of the four prior posts with this title:
“While in many areas it might be difficult to see into the future, in the area of technology the future can be readily seen. The speed of technological invention and innovation moves so quickly that we have barely assimilated a recent breakthrough when another shows up to knock us back on our heels again. While these innovations do provide a glimpse of our future, they can be disorienting in that they show us that the Present that we are struggling to accept and assimilate will soon be outdated.â€
Cloud computing is the name given to the rapidly growing movement of software and storage onto the web. Rather than having all of ones’ software, documents, pictures and email files stashed on the hard drive of a desk top or notebook computer, it will soon be possible to have all of ones digital life reside on a secure place on the web. While on-line back-up has been around for a while, the breakthrough for cloud computing is that the software one uses will be on the web, not in the computer. This is the high level battleground between the decades’ old PC model of Microsoft and the more recent Net-centric vision of Google.
Perhaps Bill Gate’s most famous quote is his founding vision for Microsoft: “A PC on every desktopâ€. The manifestation of that vision is the world domination of the Microsoft Empire. Whether one likes Microsoft or not, this manifested vision helped …
The iPhone Starts It Up Again
July 2nd, 2007
People started using computers outside the corporate research lab in the 1950s. The early computers created in garages were brought to market in the mid 1970s. The PC came out in 1981. The 1990s saw the early explosive growth of the laptop and the current decade is when the PDA and other wireless devices took off. This 50 year history is punctuated by various breakthroughs in the computer human interface. Each one of these breakthroughs changed usage, behavior and ultimately society.
Mainframe computing of the 1950s looked like a technological religion. Well lit, air conditioned rooms housed large computers that were run by systems analysts and operated by trained computer operators. Access was highly restricted. It felt like one was entering the church of computer. The output was printed on reams of computer paper (remember?) that was largely illegible to the average person. Interpretation was provided by professionals.
When the Apple, and later the PC came out humans could interact directly with small computers that sat on desktops with keyboards and screens. The screens were largely monochromatic and filled with alphanumeric language that needed some training to understand. Later the mouse was added which allowed windows, screens and scrolling. Color and high resolution screens soon followed. It was no longer necessary to have training to run a computer. This increasing ease of use, as much as small size, portability and lowered cost is what drove the incredible explosion in computer sales. When using a computer became easy and fun, sales took off. …
Moore’s Law Lives On
February 2nd, 2007
As most of you know, Moore’s law is named for Gordon Moore, a co-founder of Intel. In the mid 1960s he predicted that transistor computing power would double every 24 months. Ultimately, the popular translation of this hypothesis, and subsequent predictions he made, was that in the development of computers, the power of the computer would double every 24 months and the price would decrease by half. This became a truism in the PC business and for three decades proved to be true.
In recent years people started to suggest that perhaps Moore’s law had run its course. Such exponential growth could not go on forever. It started to settle in as fact that we were coming to the end of this remarkable development cycle. We all now had computers that were infinitely faster and more powerful that the ones we first used 20-30 years ago and we were paying a fraction of the cost of these early machines. So if Moore’s Law had run its course, that was ok as the low cost speed and power at our finger tips was just fine, thank you very much.
I have written here and here in this blog about innovations and breakthroughs that perhaps suggested that Moore’s Law was not yet dead and that burial was premature. This week gave strong evidence that the ‘Law’ continues onward. Intel announced that it has made a breakthrough that would allow chips to leak less current, paving the way for a new generation of …
Convergence and Electronic Devices
January 10th, 2007
Ten years ago the word convergence was most often used when predicting the convergence of the television set and the computer. Granted there were things like PDAs that synched up to a computer, but the PDA could go into the pocket and the computer could not. As we all know, it was the cell phone where convergence first showed up, combining phone, camera and PDA. Then music was added as was connectivity to the Internet.
In the last year the excitement was the convergence in the home between the computer and the television. This was accelerated because of the penetration of broadband into 50% (now) of US households and the advent of sites like YouTube. Apple, with iTV and now a number of companies at the CES show are providing ways to connect these two primary institutions of the American home.
The other exciting convergence during this past year has been video viewing on phones, iPods, MP3 players and all forms of wireless devices. This has brought about the interesting dichotomy of watching video on a two inch screen while out of the home and then watching video on a brand new 42†or larger flat screen television in the living room. One thing to note is that at this CES show several companies are displaying ever larger flat screens, with several producing ones with 108†diagonal screens.
There are two new and interesting developments coming out of this CES convention. As mentioned in the prior post, there are an increasing number …











