Comments on: Forecast 2009 Part 2 The Economy http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/2009/01/08/forecast-2009-part-2-the-economy/ A Future Look at Today Fri, 03 Feb 2012 22:38:37 -0700 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.5 hourly 1 By: Jobs Here http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/2009/01/08/forecast-2009-part-2-the-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-65522 Jobs Here Sun, 08 Mar 2009 08:03:33 +0000 http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/?p=286#comment-65522 I have been watching the news about this so I have been looking around for the best site to visit. Yours is great. Thank you. I have been watching the news about this so I have been looking around for the best site to visit. Yours is great. Thank you.

]]> By: Jack Altschuler http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/2009/01/08/forecast-2009-part-2-the-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-65328 Jack Altschuler Sun, 11 Jan 2009 17:06:47 +0000 http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/?p=286#comment-65328 It appears to be true that, at retail, almost everything costs less than it did a year ago, owing, primarily, to dramatically reduced demand. That's what job loss and fear of job loss will do to consumers. However, in the industrial sector, many companies are continuing to experience cost price increases from suppliers. There are a variety of reasons for this, perhaps originally having been triggered by $160/bbl oil. A key companion to the cost price increases is the dramatic reduction in demand by customers. Some customers have gone away forever; others have lost much of their own customer base, so their demand from suppliers is down. The net of that is greatly reduced margins. That puts pressure on company expenses. the largest of which is typically personnel. That leads to more layoffs and the process spirals still further downward. The key point is that demand is being mated with increased production costs, not decreased costs and that is having a pronounced negative effect on the US economy, private and public companies and on individual people. Fear is palpable and, for many, demoralizing and, at times, immobilizing. We need strong, clear leadership right now to deal with the fear and to make smart choices. Not just from Washington, but all the way down to the shop floor and even at the kitchen table. It appears to be true that, at retail, almost everything costs less than it did a year ago, owing, primarily, to dramatically reduced demand. That’s what job loss and fear of job loss will do to consumers.

However, in the industrial sector, many companies are continuing to experience cost price increases from suppliers. There are a variety of reasons for this, perhaps originally having been triggered by $160/bbl oil.

A key companion to the cost price increases is the dramatic reduction in demand by customers. Some customers have gone away forever; others have lost much of their own customer base, so their demand from suppliers is down. The net of that is greatly reduced margins. That puts pressure on company expenses. the largest of which is typically personnel. That leads to more layoffs and the process spirals still further downward.

The key point is that demand is being mated with increased production costs, not decreased costs and that is having a pronounced negative effect on the US economy, private and public companies and on individual people. Fear is palpable and, for many, demoralizing and, at times, immobilizing.

We need strong, clear leadership right now to deal with the fear and to make smart choices. Not just from Washington, but all the way down to the shop floor and even at the kitchen table.

]]> By: Henry J Burnett http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/2009/01/08/forecast-2009-part-2-the-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-65326 Henry J Burnett Fri, 09 Jan 2009 18:53:51 +0000 http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/?p=286#comment-65326 David’s January Posts address major sweeping Macro Global Forces at Play. How will these incredibly powerful forces be interpreted in many Micro Economic, Cultural and Political Systems? Education is a subset of the Cultural System with intersections in both the Political and Economic Systems. Will the four concepts defined in David’s 1.6.09 Post become Major Forces At Play for Education in the as the National Society and Global Society are impacted by the sweeping changes of The Shift Age?? David’s January Posts address major sweeping Macro Global Forces at Play. How will these incredibly powerful forces be interpreted in many Micro Economic, Cultural and Political Systems? Education is a subset of the Cultural System with intersections in both the Political and Economic Systems. Will the four concepts defined in David’s 1.6.09 Post become Major Forces At Play for Education in the as the National Society and Global Society are impacted by the sweeping changes of The Shift Age??

]]>