Comments on: Forecast for 2008 http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/2008/01/09/forecast-for-2008/ A Future Look at Today Fri, 03 Feb 2012 22:38:37 -0700 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.5 hourly 1 By: theablycealowl http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/2008/01/09/forecast-for-2008/comment-page-1/#comment-64368 theablycealowl Sun, 03 Aug 2008 06:45:48 +0000 http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/2008/01/09/forecast-for-2008/#comment-64368 Thanks for the post Thanks for the post

]]> By: david http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/2008/01/09/forecast-for-2008/comment-page-1/#comment-39192 david Sun, 13 Jan 2008 17:35:59 +0000 http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/2008/01/09/forecast-for-2008/#comment-39192 Grant- Thank you for your comments. Basically your description of the way you shop is exactly mine; we go to buy and get it done. It is a 'guy thing'. That being said, the vast majority of shopping in this country is done by women. I have thought a lot about shopping malls in the era of on-line shopping and $4 gas. I think that ultimately they will morph from being centers for shopping only into more of a 'village green' or mini-downtown. If people increasingly work from home, then a center serves them if it has a variety of amenities across the life experience: food store, coffee shop, barber shop and beauty shop, exercise place, library outlet etc. David Grant-

Thank you for your comments. Basically your description of the way you shop is exactly mine; we go to buy and get it done. It is a ‘guy thing’. That being said, the vast majority of shopping in this country is done by women.

I have thought a lot about shopping malls in the era of on-line shopping and $4 gas. I think that ultimately they will morph from being centers for shopping only into more of a ‘village green’ or mini-downtown. If people increasingly work from home, then a center serves them if it has a variety of amenities across the life experience: food store, coffee shop, barber shop and beauty shop, exercise place, library outlet etc.

David

]]> By: david http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/2008/01/09/forecast-for-2008/comment-page-1/#comment-39189 david Sun, 13 Jan 2008 17:04:19 +0000 http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/2008/01/09/forecast-for-2008/#comment-39189 Anything by Steven Pinker is worthy of reading. Thank you gregory for both these recommendations. Anything by Steven Pinker is worthy of reading. Thank you gregory for both these recommendations.

]]> By: Grant http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/2008/01/09/forecast-for-2008/comment-page-1/#comment-39184 Grant Sun, 13 Jan 2008 16:20:24 +0000 http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/2008/01/09/forecast-for-2008/#comment-39184 Great post. I agree with about 90% of your predictions. I think gas prices and the acceptance of "peak oil" will be dependent on how deep we go into a recession. If our economic health drives down gasoline consumption, we may very well see gas prices fall. We may not reach your $4 mark, but like you, I don't think we'll see $80 oil either. I think your thoughts on "shopping" are very interesting, and I can already see many of the indicators falling in line with your predictions based on my own shopping behavior during this last Christmas season. It's interesting to note though, that I really dislike "shopping" in the sense that I don't spend a lot of time looking for the lowest price. In effect, I go "buying" instead of "shopping". I know what I need (a food processor for my wife for Christmas) and I know one place I can get it. I don't care that 20 miles away I can it for $10 less, I just want to get in, get out, and get on with the rest of my daily tasks. So perhaps I may not be the best indicator of where "shopping" is headed. On that note though, how much influence do you see the change in shopping having on the economy? To an extreme, the decline in brick and mortar purchases could force the brick and mortar concept to go into extinction. Is it possible that we see our shopping malls turned into residential development districts? Or maybe not quite to that level, shopping malls may be turned into warehouses to support online "shopping". Anyway, a great set of predictions indeed! -Grant Great post. I agree with about 90% of your predictions.

I think gas prices and the acceptance of “peak oil” will be dependent on how deep we go into a recession. If our economic health drives down gasoline consumption, we may very well see gas prices fall. We may not reach your $4 mark, but like you, I don’t think we’ll see $80 oil either.

I think your thoughts on “shopping” are very interesting, and I can already see many of the indicators falling in line with your predictions based on my own shopping behavior during this last Christmas season.

It’s interesting to note though, that I really dislike “shopping” in the sense that I don’t spend a lot of time looking for the lowest price. In effect, I go “buying” instead of “shopping”. I know what I need (a food processor for my wife for Christmas) and I know one place I can get it. I don’t care that 20 miles away I can it for $10 less, I just want to get in, get out, and get on with the rest of my daily tasks.

So perhaps I may not be the best indicator of where “shopping” is headed.

On that note though, how much influence do you see the change in shopping having on the economy?

To an extreme, the decline in brick and mortar purchases could force the brick and mortar concept to go into extinction. Is it possible that we see our shopping malls turned into residential development districts?

Or maybe not quite to that level, shopping malls may be turned into warehouses to support online “shopping”.

Anyway, a great set of predictions indeed!

-Grant

]]> By: gregory http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/2008/01/09/forecast-for-2008/comment-page-1/#comment-39077 gregory Sat, 12 Jan 2008 18:18:08 +0000 http://www.evolutionshift.com/blog/2008/01/09/forecast-for-2008/#comment-39077 and a fabulous one from the nyt magazine called the moral instinct... http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/13/magazine/13Psychology-t.html?pagewanted=8 i linked the last page, the conclusion is about your fave topic, global warming and a fabulous one from the nyt magazine called the moral instinct…

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/13/magazine/13Psychology-t.html?pagewanted=8

i linked the last page, the conclusion is about your fave topic, global warming

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